5 Factors That Are Influencing The Foreign Exchange Market On A Global Scale

Forex is a truly global marketplace, with buyers and sellers from all over the world trading trillions of dollars every day. Because foreign exchange trading has become such a global industry, macroeconomic events from around the world now have a more prominent role in forex than ever before.

These variables influence a trader’s decisions and, in turn, determine the value of a currency at any particular time. As well as these factors, we also have to consider the live indices, which measure a currency’s performance over time.

5 Factors That Are Influencing The Foreign Exchange Market On A Global Scale

Here, we explore five factors that significantly impact the foreign exchange market.

1. Inflation

Currency exchange rates fluctuate due to changes in market inflation. A country’s currency will appreciate if its inflation rate is lower than that of another. When inflation is low, prices for goods and services rise at a lesser rate. Therefore, a country with consistently reduced inflation has a rising currency value. In contrast, a country with higher inflation has a depreciating currency, frequently accompanied by higher interest rates.

2. Interest Rates

The interest rate is the percentage charged on the amount borrowed or the interest earned on the amount saved. Central banks will raise or cut interest rates to impact the economy’s strength, as well as consumer spending and borrowing. Inflation and interest rates are inextricably related; interest rates can be lowered or raised to balance the pace of inflation.

When inflation is high, interest rates tend to climb. Similarly, interest rates tend to follow suit when inflation is excessively low. The interest rate can determine the exchange rate for some nation’s currencies in relation to another country. A higher interest rate usually results in a stronger currency.

3. Unemployment

The unemployment rate is the percentage of unemployed people in a country’s working class. Countries compute unemployment rates by comparing the number of people willing and looking for work to the number of people currently employed. Those who are disabled, retired, or in school are notable exceptions to this rule.

Unemployment rates can cause market volatility since they are a lagging indicator that reflects changes in a country’s economic status that have already occurred. The significance of unemployment rates in forex trading cannot be overstated since they provide essential indicators of a country’s financial situation.

Foreign Exchange Market

4. Current Account

The current account balance is the trade balance between a country and its trading partners. It describes the value disparity between commodities and services traded with other countries. A country’s trade balance is negative when it buys more than it sells. It directly impacts the exchange rate because a country will require more foreign capital, reducing demand for local currency. Because of the excess supply of local money, its value against foreign currency falls.

5. Political News

The political landscape impacts a country’s economy. It has an impact on the value of the currency. Forex traders monitor political news and events to assess how they affect other countries’ economic policies. They may, for example, examine how much the government spends or what new rules and regulations are implemented for specific sectors or industries. Furthermore, changes in the regulations governing the margin or leverage available to traders can significantly impact the markets.

Although economic data and other news items significantly impact currency, it is vital to recall that speculators create an estimated 90% of daily forex volume. This means that technical analysis, coupled with fundamentals such as interest rate settings and trade numbers, is crucial. This can be a lot to get your head around; therefore, it is wise to practice before getting heavily involved in trading. You can practice risk-free trading with a trial account pre-loaded with virtual currency, allowing you to fine-tune your approach before trading with real money.

Understanding the underlying elements that influence the forex markets will make it easier for traders to achieve market success. Understanding and implementing the variables mentioned above in your trade differentiates forex trading from gambling—furthermore, the above characteristics aid traders in determining which positions to take in the markets. As a result, it is prudent for every trader to pay close attention to the impact that the factors outlined above are expected to have on the market.

Dragan Sutevski

Posted by Dragan Sutevski

Dragan Sutevski is a founder and CEO of Sutevski Consulting, creating business excellence through innovative thinking. Get more from Dragan on Twitter. Contact Dragan